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  1. AI/ML-Enhanced Wind Forecasts for Reducing Uncertainty in Prescribed Fire Planning

    Prescribed fire is a vital tool for ecosystem management and wildfire risk reduction but its escalation is constrained by overly conservative burn windows because of uncertainties, for instance, in wind forecasts. This review describes the state of the art in weather product use by fire/smoke models and identifies three priority research gaps that artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) is well positioned to address: (1) spatial and temporal downscaling to meter-scale, sub-hourly wind fields; (2) bias correction for systematic model errors in complex terrain; and (3) robust uncertainty quantification to inform ensemble-based simulations. Emerging AI/ML techniques offer promising frameworks to address allmore » three challenges. By providing high-resolution, bias-corrected, and probabilistic wind fields, AI/ML-enhanced forecasts will allow for expanded burn windows, improved ignition strategy design and a reduced reliance on expert intuition, especially when a prescribed fire is introduced into new areas.« less
  2. On the minimum number of radiation field parameters to specify gas cooling and heating functions

    Fast and accurate approximations of gas cooling and heating functions are needed for hydrodynamic galaxy simulations. We use machine learning to analyze atomic gas cooling and heating functions computed by Cloudy in the presence of a generalized incident local radiation field. We characterize the radiation field through binned radiation field intensities instead of the photoionization rates used in our previous work. We find a set of 6 energy bins whose intensities exhibit relatively low correlation. We use these bins as features to train machine learning models to predict Cloudy cooling and heating functions at fixed metallicity. We compare the relativemore » SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) value importance of the features. From the SHAP analysis, we identify a feature subset of 3 energy bins ($0.5-1, 1-4$, and $$13-16 \, \mathrm{Ry}$$) with the largest importance and train additional models on this subset. We compare the mean squared errors and distribution of errors on both the entire training data table and a randomly selected 20% test set withheld from model training. The machine learning models trained with 3 and 6 bins, as well as 3 and 4 photoionization rates, have comparable accuracy everywhere, with errors $$\gtrsim 10$$ times smaller than for the interpolation table of Gnedin and Hollon (2012). We conclude that 3 energy bins (or 3 analogous photoionization rates: molecular hydrogen photodissociation, neutral hydrogen HI, and fully ionized carbon CVI) are sufficient to characterize the dependence of the gas cooling and heating functions on our assumed incident radiation field model.« less
  3. On the minimum number of radiation field parameters to specify gas cooling and heating functions

    Fast and accurate approximations of gas cooling and heating functions are needed for hydrodynamic galaxy simulations. We use machine learning to analyze atomic gas cooling and heating functions in the presence of a generalized incident local radiation field computed by Cloudy. We characterize the radiation field through binned radiation field intensities instead of the photoionization rates used in our previous work. We find a set of 6 energy bins whose intensities exhibit relatively low correlation. We use these bins as features to train machine learning models to predict Cloudy cooling and heating functions at fixed metallicity. We compare the relativemore » SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) value importance of the features. From the SHAP analysis, we identify a feature subset of 3 energy bins (0.5-1, 1-4, and 13-16Ry) with the largest importance and train additional models on this subset. We compare the mean squared errors and distribution of errors on both the entire training data table and a randomly selected 20% test set withheld from model training. The machine learning models trained with 3 and 6 bins, as well as 3 and 4 photoionization rates, have comparable accuracy everywhere, with errors ≳10 times smaller than for the interpolation table of Gnedin and Hollon (2012). We conclude that 3 energy bins (or 3 analogous photoionization rates: molecular hydrogen photodissociation, neutral hydrogen HI, and fully ionized carbon CVI) are sufficient to characterize the dependence of the gas cooling and heating functions on our assumed incident radiation field model.« less
  4. Modeling the impact of smoke from prescribed fire on road visibility

    Prescribed fires are planned to achieve conservation and fuel reduction objectives while minimizing smoke ground concentration to limit health impacts and road visibility impairment. Prescribed burns cannot indeed be conducted if those hazards are not within predefined limits. This paper proposes a new framework to evaluate road visibility that overcomes the limitation of the state of the art model, VSMOKE. The framework leverages the fast-running framework QUIC-Fire/QUIC-SMOKE to capture fire and smoke dynamics, and the timing and duration of hazardous conditions on the road network close to the burn unit (within 50–100 km). The paper presents parametric study using amore » real burn plot at Fort Stewart (GA, USA), under hypothetical wind conditions to understand the interplay between buoyancy and smoke dilution. Here, results showed that faster winds caused fire escape while slower winds did not achieve a complete burn. Furthermore, faster winds featured brief road visibility reduction below braking distance.« less
  5. Lessons Learned from Three Agrivoltaic Installations in New Jersey

    Agrivoltaics is a new technology that has the potential to positively impact commercial farming by combining agricultural practices with the generation of solar energy. While some yield reduction is to be expected, resulting from less sunlight reaching the plant canopy and ground occupied by support structures, the generated electricity provides a low-risk supplemental income to farmers. In order to combine farming with electricity generation, agrivoltaic systems use a lower ground coverage ratio compared to normal solar farms and the PV panels are often mounted higher above the ground in order to facilitate the movement of agricultural equipment and to reducemore » the contrast between shaded and non-shaded areas. With funding provided from the state of New Jersey and the New Jersey Agricultural Experiment Station (NJAES), we designed and installed three unique agrivoltaic research systems at Rutgers/NJAES farms. These projects were recently completed and are generating electricity that is exported to the grid. This paper discusses the lessons we have learned along the way, including all the steps necessary to see an agrivoltaic project through to completion.« less
  6. Different chemical scaffolds bind to L-phe site in Mycobacterium tuberculosis Phe-tRNA synthetase

    Tuberculosis (TB), caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mt), is one of the deadliest infectious diseases. The rise of multidrug-resistant strains represents a major public health threat, requiring new therapeutic options. Bacterial aminoacyl-tRNA synthetases (aaRS) have been shown to be highly promising drug targets, including for TB treatment. These enzymes play an essential role in translating the DNA gene code into protein sequence by attaching specific amino acid to their cognate tRNAs. They have multiple binding sites that can be targeted for inhibitor discovery: amino acid binding pocket, ATP binding pocket, tRNA binding site and an editing domain. Recently we reported severalmore » high-resolution structures of M. tuberculosis phenylalanyl-tRNA synthetase (MtPheRS) complexed with tRNAPhe and either L-Phe or a nonhydrolyzable phenylalanine adenylate analog. Here, in this study, using Nucleic Magnetic Resonance (NMR) and Surface Plasmon Resonance (SPR) we identified fragments that bind to MtPheRS and we determined crystal structures of their complexes with MtPheRS/tRNAPhe. All the binders interact with the L-Phe amino acid binding site. The analysis of interactions of the new compounds combined with adenylate analog structure provides insights for the rational design of antituberculosis drugs. The 3 ' arm of the tRNAPhe in all the structures was disordered with exception of one complex with D-735 compound. In this structure the 3' CCA end of the acceptor stem is observed in the editing domain of MtPheRS providing insights regarding the post-transfer editing activity of class II aaRS.« less
  7. Exploring the dependence of gas cooling and heating functions on the incident radiation field with machine learning

    ABSTRACT Gas cooling and heating functions play a crucial role in galaxy formation. But, it is computationally expensive to exactly compute these functions in the presence of an incident radiation field. These computations can be greatly sped up by using interpolation tables of pre-computed values, at the expense of making significant and sometimes even unjustified approximations. Here, we explore the capacity of machine learning to approximate cooling and heating functions with a generalized radiation field. Specifically, we use the machine learning algorithm XGBoost to predict cooling and heating functions calculated with the photoionization code cloudy at fixed metallicity, using differentmore » combinations of photoionization rates as features. We perform a constrained quadratic fit in metallicity to enable a fair comparison with traditional interpolation methods at arbitrary metallicity. We consider the relative importance of various photoionization rates through both a principal component analysis (PCA) and calculation of SHapley Additive exPlanation (shap) values for our XGBoost models. We use feature importance information to select different subsets of rates to use in model training. Our XGBoost models outperform a traditional interpolation approach at each fixed metallicity, regardless of feature selection. At arbitrary metallicity, we are able to reduce the frequency of the largest cooling and heating function errors compared to an interpolation table. We find that the primary bottleneck to increasing accuracy lies in accurately capturing the metallicity dependence. This study demonstrates the potential of machine learning methods such as XGBoost to capture the non-linear behaviour of cooling and heating functions.« less
  8. Emergence of the temperature–density relation in the low-density intergalactic medium

    We examine the evolution of the phase diagram of the low-density intergalactic medium during the Epoch of Reionization in simulation boxes with varying reionization histories from the Cosmic Reionization on Computers project. The probability density function (PDF) of gas temperature at fixed density exhibits two clear modes: a warm and a cold temperature mode, corresponding to the gas inside and outside of ionized bubbles. We find that the transition between the two modes is ‘universal’ in the sense that its timing is accurately parametrized by the value of the volume-weighted neutral fraction for any reionization history. This ‘universality’ is moremore » complex than just a reflection of the fact that ionized gas is warm and neutral gas is cold: it holds for the transition at a fixed value of gas density, and gas at different densities transitions from the cold to the warm mode at different values of the neutral fraction, reflecting a non-trivial relationship between the ionization history and the evolving gas density PDF. Furthermore, the ‘emergence’ of the tight temperature–density relation in the warm mode is also approximately ‘universally’ controlled by the volume-weighted neutral fraction for any reionization history. In particular, the ‘emergence’ of the temperature–density relation (as quantified by the rapid decrease in its width) occurs when the neutral fraction is 10–4 ≲ XHI ≲ 10–3 for any reionization history. Our results indicate that the neutral fraction is a primary quantity controlling the various properties of the temperature–density relation, regardless of reionization history.« less
  9. The effect of terrain-influenced winds on fire spread in QUIC-Fire

    Here in this manuscript, we describe the implementation of the terrain-following version of QUIC-URB into QUIC-Fire and a demonstration of the impacts of terrain-influenced winds on QUIC-Fire-simulated fire spread. No changes to the underlying QUIC-Fire fire spread algorithm were made other than what was required to correctly account for the inclusion of terrain. This paper summarizes simulations used to understand how the QUIC-URB terrain-influenced winds affect upslope fire behavior without additional changes to the QUIC-Fire fire spread algorithm. Previously published FIRETEC results are compared to simulation results from the modified QUIC-Fire (incorporating terrain-influenced winds) that use the same topographies andmore » fuels. QUIC-Fire results showed overall similar behaviors in terms of how the topographies affected fire shapes and trends in spread rates. Due to the terrain-following version of QUIC-URB being unable to generate flow separations at the crest of hills, fire spread rates in these regions across all non-flat topographies were over-predicted when compared to FIRETEC. Lateral fire growth showed similar trends with FIRETEC between topographies but did not capture the increase in spread due to a diagonal interface between grassland and forested fuel regions in the test domain. These simulations suggest possible refinements that are necessary to improve QUIC-Fire and thus guide ongoing efforts related to: how flame tilt angle is accounted for, the incorporation of non-local drag effects, and the inclusion of the wake-eddy parameterizations that are used in QUIC-URB.« less
  10. Comparison of Designs of Hydrogen Isotope Separation Columns by Numerical Modeling

    Mixtures of gas-phase hydrogen isotopologues (diatomic combinations of protium, deuterium, and tritium) can be separated using columns containing a solid such as palladium that reversibly absorbs hydrogen. A temperature-swing process can transport hydrogen into or out of a column by inducing temperature-dependent absorption or desorption reactions. Here, we consider two designs: a thermal cycling absorption process, which moves hydrogen back and forth between two columns, and a simulated moving bed (SMB), where columns are in a circular arrangement. We present a numerical mass and heat transport model of absorption columns for hydrogen isotope separation. It includes a detailed treatment ofmore » the absorption–desorption reaction for palladium. By comparing the isotope concentrations within the columns as a function of position and time, we observe that SMB can lead to sharper separations for a given number of thermal cycles by avoiding the remixing of isotopes.« less
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